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Yes,
it is, but keep in mind that there is no question here that
extensive, meticulous planning was behind this outrage,
and if "you" are the leader of the terrorist organization
planning such a crime against humanity and expending incredible
sums of money and effort, would you want to leave the potential
"success" of your operation to the chance that a pilot of
lesser training might foul up the operation and not hit
the intended target? I would think not, which logical speculation
leads directly to the thought that the terrorist-pilots
involved here had at least some training in or exposure
to large aircraft. Again the problem is precision and certainty.
The enemy here wanted to hit four targets dead on, and to
do that requires quite a bit of pilotage skill in the last
few seconds. A small aircraft pilot will be very unfamiliar
with the aerodynamic responses of a 757 or 767, and will
more than likely mishandle it in those critical last seconds.
As I said on the air awhile ago with Peter Jennings, it
is also very curious and a potential clue that the two types
of aircraft in today's acts of war against the United States
are the only ones which have what's known as a common type
rating: IE, training in a 757 qualifies you completely and
legally to fly a 767. That could be coincidence, but it's
probably by design.
What defense
does a pilot have in the cockpit if someone is trying to
hijack the flight or bursts through the cockpit door?
Professional
pilots have extensive training in how to handle a hijacker
who wants something specific (such as transportation or
money, or the opportunity to make a statement and survive).
We have long known, however, that there is nothing but grave
danger in the idea of either arming aircrews in order to
give us the possibility of shooting a hijacker, or in otherwise
fomenting an airborne struggle in the cockpit. (And If you'll
recall, we had an unsuccessful airborne struggle in the
cockpit of an EgyptAir 767 nearly two years ago, and the
captain lost his battle to regain control from a suicidal/homicidal
copilot.) In addition, there is no way we can so harden
the cockpit door that no one could force or coerce his way
in. Finally, when someone is well armed, and has carefully
planned attack that includes their plan to die in the process,
our defenses in a free society with a robust, accessible
airline system rest almost exclusively on a combination
of good intelligence and intelligent screening.
What do
you think a pilot would do if confronted at gun point and
asked to re-route a plane? (What's the psychology of the
pilot, and would he/she refuse, and are they trained to
deal with such a situation?)
I can tell you
quite clearly what any of some 29-thousand airline pilots
would do if confronted with a gun to the head and asked
to divert to another airport: we would comply. BUT, if given
any indication whatsoever that the plan was to crash the
airplane into anything, there would be absolutely no compliance,
because to comply would guarantee our deaths and the potential
deaths of many others. Given that order - fly into a building
- any airline pilot would fight, or at the very least, attempt
to thwart the attempt. These terrorist planners knew this,
and therefore they would not have depended on the possibility
of intimidating the pilots, they would have killed them
or completely incapacitated them immediately. You can take
this to the bank: the human organisms at the controls of
each of those aircraft were not the airline pilots assigned
to those flights. While I say this with full knowledge that
human nature dictates that a turncoat is possible, postulating
four turncoats coordinated on four different airliners going
in four different directions exceeds rational probability.
How common
is it for an airliner to be hijacked in North America?
Hijackings are
very uncommon in the United States and Canada these days
because of reasonably good security procedures and because
of reasonably good intelligence. But such defense systems
are obviously not perfect. We stand a very good chance of
thwarting any hijacker who is mentally unbalanced or simply
wants money or attention. We stand vulnerable in a free
and robust system to the professional suicide terrorist.
I'll have more later.
John Nance
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